Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 4.063126 4.516664 5.001883 5.559993 6.184711 6.862991 7.655971
2026-02-08 3.259110 3.872430 4.576032 5.444586 6.490317 7.711744 9.250911
2026-02-15 2.750879 3.447972 4.293912 5.399824 6.813124 8.566264 10.917530
2026-02-22 2.455054 3.218307 4.189402 5.522163 7.314168 9.654851 12.967849
2026-03-01 2.174107 2.960787 4.002878 5.493951 7.588603 10.449787 14.694297
2026-03-08 1.905166 2.681710 3.747049 5.327877 7.635599 10.914569 15.985620
2026-03-15 1.720285 2.495135 3.592535 5.275929 7.821444 11.571903 17.599813
2026-03-22 1.614619 2.408612 3.567261 5.401175 8.268306 12.640830 19.931807
2026-03-29 1.523751 2.333073 3.547368 5.526351 8.718351 13.746606 22.427081
2026-04-05 1.419667 2.226276 3.467786 5.546369 8.997190 14.599081 24.587774
2026-04-12 1.309401 2.099103 3.343583 5.479794 9.122702 15.204540 26.382386
2026-04-19 1.206809 1.974970 3.212563 5.387422 9.191288 15.712562 28.047723
2026-04-26 1.110876 1.855942 3.083243 5.291582 9.253895 16.231633 29.821406
2026-05-03 1.024396 1.745909 2.960138 5.195516 9.307037 16.739327 31.633587
2026-05-10 0.956530 1.662201 2.874838 5.157820 9.460284 17.440370 33.889574
2026-05-17 0.919749 1.629860 2.876126 5.276178 9.912298 18.739280 37.465549
2026-05-24 0.864591 1.559830 2.803828 5.249969 10.083944 19.513201 40.058937
2026-05-31 0.796110 1.459946 2.668913 5.091949 9.981319 19.733369 41.512792
2026-06-07 0.748380 1.395028 2.593698 5.042527 10.088858 20.382525 43.952026
2026-06-14 0.725728 1.375931 2.603524 5.161924 10.550918 21.804845 48.256379
2026-06-21 0.704418 1.357678 2.613242 5.281226 11.022640 23.291411 52.878993
2026-06-28 0.673141 1.317373 2.576307 5.300307 11.280707 24.338417 56.598385
2026-07-05 0.635318 1.261189 2.503327 5.236865 11.351774 24.976065 59.410410